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* Economy moves decisively to higher growth phase

* Economic growth in 2007-08 projected at 8.7 %

* Overall inflation projected to decline from 5.6 per cent in 2006-07 to 4.1 per cent in 2007-08

* Acceleration in domestic investment and savings rates.

* Buoyant growth in Government Revenues

* Investment climate full of optimism

* Concern over slowdown in consumer goods segment of industry and infrastructure constraints

* Indian economy at market exchange rate to cross 1 trillion dollars in current fiscal

* Growth in service sector continues to be broadbased with ‘transport and communication’ being the fastest during the Xth Five Year Plan

* 13.9 per cent growth in financial services in 2006-07

* Annual average growth of money on an accelerating trend since 2003-04 reaching 19.5 per cent in 2006-07

* Considerable uncertainty in quantifying the downside risk arising from the housing market and sub-prime mortgage market crisis in US

* 150 per cent increase in net foreign direct investment inflows in 2006-07 to US $ 23 billion. Trend continues in the current financial year with gross FDI inflows reaching US $ 11.2 billion in first six months

* Trade to GDP ratio increases from 22.5 per cent of GDP in 2000-01 to 34.8 per cent of GDP in 2006-07

* Heightened urgency to augment and upgrade infrastructure both physical as well as social and in particular power, roads and ports

* Persistent institutional weaknesses and implementation constrains at different levels of government need to be addressed

* Private sector requires policy and regulations that are comprehensive but simple and clear and credible

* Share of Central Government expenditure on social services, including rural development, in total expenditure (Plan & Non-Plan) increased from 10.97 per cent in 2001-02 to 16.42 per cent in 2007-08

* Agricultural growth, dependent as it is on monsoon, continues to fluctuate. Overall foodgrains production in 2007-08 expected to fall short of the target by 2.2 million tonnes. Need for second green revolution particularly in rainfed areas emphasized.


Budget 2008 - 2009




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